Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 15.413357 17.410961 19.585035 22.129403 25.028749 28.233463 32.049408
2025-02-16 11.636513 14.094658 16.973789 20.604163 25.072874 30.410545 37.294853
2025-02-23 9.162244 11.800357 15.097343 19.540431 25.402500 32.914739 43.339568
2025-03-02 7.439502 10.128552 13.693010 18.798036 25.978685 35.802631 50.404971
2025-03-09 6.241897 8.941150 12.718029 18.440935 26.985829 39.416980 59.137784
2025-03-16 5.312459 7.972130 11.883178 18.126531 27.981252 43.167911 68.789410
2025-03-23 4.749439 7.446693 11.603783 18.577563 30.187108 49.099660 82.973868
2025-03-30 4.175779 6.813586 11.057058 18.507543 31.535560 53.882461 96.212734
2025-04-06 3.621181 6.126713 10.317935 17.990485 32.028545 57.287321 107.700326
2025-04-13 3.188742 5.580932 9.731736 17.635186 32.729453 61.153436 120.797123
2025-04-20 2.940251 5.319651 9.599390 18.071071 34.953895 68.222252 141.629995
2025-04-27 2.743390 5.122959 9.552579 18.654135 37.552360 76.468019 166.654628
2025-05-04 2.506332 4.826149 9.291286 18.806462 39.376368 83.615246 191.258014
2025-05-11 2.236715 4.430071 8.783663 18.379177 39.914180 88.144885 210.994285
2025-05-18 2.011290 4.092690 8.347992 18.036989 40.585385 93.118939 233.059571
2025-05-25 1.822022 3.805010 7.976096 17.776660 41.402155 98.604075 257.821682
2025-06-01 1.674115 3.585802 7.720377 17.739800 42.746285 105.643366 288.540843
2025-06-08 1.539121 3.377212 7.459698 17.650212 43.948262 112.576119 320.807289
2025-06-15 1.465980 3.297859 7.479931 18.244888 47.010198 125.027519 372.583628
2025-06-22 1.363754 3.138130 7.291592 18.287555 48.624493 133.880129 415.857712
2025-06-29 1.244001 2.921970 6.940155 17.854158 48.859037 138.883534 448.259282
2025-07-06 1.144675 2.742986 6.656320 17.555534 49.420934 144.969693 486.024933
2025-07-13 1.094578 2.679783 6.654665 18.028634 52.331359 158.844478 555.099194